Global Economic Slowdown: A significant reason for the fall in Indian exports is the slowdown in key global economies. Weak economic growth in major trading partners, such as the US, EU, and China, has led to reduced demand for Indian goods.
Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade disputes among major economies have disrupted global trade flows. Uncertainties arising from these tensions have led to cautiousness among exporters and importers.
Inflation in Developed Economies: High inflation rates in developed economies, particularly in Europe, have impacted the purchasing power of consumers and led to reduced demand for imported goods, including those from India.
Supply Chain Disruptions: The COVID-19 pandemic caused supply chain disruptions, affecting production and transportation of goods. This disrupted the flow of exports and imports, impacting global trade.
Global Shipping Crisis: The shortage of shipping containers and disruptions in global logistics due to the pandemic have led to delays and increased shipping costs, affecting the export of goods.
Volatility in Commodity Prices: Fluctuations in commodity prices, including energy and raw materials, have impacted production costs and export competitiveness.
Currency Fluctuations: Currency volatility, including the appreciation of the Indian rupee against major currencies, has affected export competitiveness and profit margins.
Market Diversification Challenges: Overdependence on specific markets and lack of diversification in export destinations make Indian exports vulnerable to downturns in those markets.
Impact of Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Geopolitical tensions, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, have disrupted global trade equilibrium and created uncertainties, affecting trade flows.
Delayed Recovery from COVID-19: The lingering impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global economic recovery has contributed to subdued consumer demand and sluggish export growth.
Positive Growth Sectors: Despite challenges, sectors like electronics and drugs and pharmaceuticals have shown positive growth due to increased demand for smartphones and essential medical products.
The contraction in Indian exports is a result of multiple intertwined factors, including global economic slowdown, geopolitical tensions, inflationary pressures, and disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. As the global economic environment evolves, export recovery will depend on efforts to address these challenges, foster diversification, enhance competitiveness, and improve trade relations with key partners